Match: CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana
Fixture: Atlético Mineiro vs Atlético Bucaramanga
Local kick-off time: 21:30 on July 24, 2025
Venue: Mineirão Stadium
Team Strength Overview:
Atlético Mineiro gained the upper hand with a 1-0 away win in the first leg, and they will enjoy an even more obvious advantage playing at home in this fixture. The team has been in excellent form recently, remaining unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins and 1 draw), with a 4-match winning streak at home and an average of over 2 goals per game. Their attacking duo Hulk and Paulinho are in hot form, having combined for 15 goals in all competitions this season. Atlético Mineiro typically employs a 4-2-3-1 formation, excelling at creating chances through crosses from the flanks and high pressing in the attacking third.
As a mid-table team in the Colombian league, Atlético Bucaramanga has a significant gap in overall strength compared to Mineiro. Their away form has been poor, with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 away matches. Atlético Bucaramanga tends to adopt a 5-4-1 defensive counter-attack system, but they may struggle to cope with Mineiro's strong attacking firepower.
Handicap Prediction:
Atlético Mineiro -1.25 (Asian Handicap)
Home Win (European Odds)
Predicted scores: 3-0, 3-1, 4-1
Predicted goals: 3, 4, 5
Changes in Betting Data:
Major Asian bookmakers opened with an initial handicap of Atlético Mineiro -1.5, and the line has currently dropped to -1.25. Given that Atlético Mineiro secured a 1-0 win in the first leg, they may play conservatively to maintain their score advantage. However, based on the current strength of both teams, Atlético Mineiro still managed to win the first leg even with one man down, relying on Hulk's penalty, and they maintained a certain level of control over the game. In this home fixture, Atlético Bucaramanga is likely to struggle to make an impact.
In terms of total goals, Asian bookmakers generally opened with an initial line of 3 goals, which has now dropped to 2.5. This situation is basically consistent with the handicap line. If Atlético Mineiro can achieve a big win, the total goals line is also likely to be exceeded. Therefore, there is more support for a total of over 3 goals in this match.
