Brazilian Cup: Corinthians VS Athletico Paranaense Prediction & Betting Tips

Brazilian Cup: Corinthians VS Athletico Paranaense

Local Kick-off Time: 09-10 21:30

Click here to watch the match LIVE now! 🔴 ▶

Click here to watch the match LIVE now! 🔴 ▶

Handicap Prediction:

Asian Handicap: Corinthians -0.5

European Odds: Home Win

Predicted Scores: 1-0, 2-0, 2-1

Predicted Total Goals: 1, 2, 3

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis

Corinthians is a mid-table team in the Brasileirão (Brazilian Serie A). They finished 7th last season and currently rank 12th this season. The team’s head coach is Júnior, a former Brazil national team manager. Corinthians often employs a 4-4-2 formation, with the striking partnership of Depay and Alberto posing a significant threat. However, Alberto has been sidelined due to injury since the 19th round of the Brasileirão, so the attacking line for this match will likely feature a combination of Magno and Depay, or alternatively, a single-striker setup with an extra midfielder (as seen in the first leg). In the Brasileirão this season, they have scored 22 goals and conceded 27; while they concede many goals away, their home performance is strong—conceding an average of just one goal per game, which ranks among the top in the league.

Athletico Paranaense was relegated from the Brasileirão last season and currently has a market value of around €30 million. After relegation, several key players left the team, including Carlo, Cristian, and Kulo, leading to a decline in strength. Currently competing in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie B (Brazilian Second Division), they rank 8th with 34 goals scored and 34 conceded. The team has shown little difference in performance between home and away games this season, delivering a mediocre overall display. However, their defense has been subpar in the last five away matches, conceding an average of nearly two goals per game.

Conclusion

As a traditional powerhouse in Brazil, Corinthians has always had a large fan base. Their performance in the league has been relatively stable, but they seem to face some challenges in this Copa do Brasil match. Nevertheless, Athletico Paranaense should not be underestimated—they have shown solid competitive form in recent matches, with highlights in both attack and defense. Asian bookmakers generally opened with an initial line of Corinthians -0.75 goals with high odds; under this line, the home team’s odds remained persistently high, reflecting the bookmakers’ lack of confidence in Corinthians winning and the relatively high payout pressure. Later, the line was adjusted to Corinthians -0.5 goals with low odds, which indicates that a narrow win is a more realistic expectation for Corinthians in this match. Therefore, it is advisable to back Corinthians to secure a home victory in this game.