Match: Serie A
Fixture: Lecce vs AC Milan
Local Kick-off Time: August 29th at 20:45
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Handicap Prediction:
Asian Handicap: AC Milan -1
European Handicap: Away Win
Predicted Scores: 1-2, 1-3, 1-4
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
Comprehensive Analysis:
Lecce narrowly avoided relegation last season, securing their place in Serie A for the third consecutive year. New head coach Eusebio Di Francesco—returning for a second spell in charge—delivered a decent debut: Lecce drew 0-0 away to Genoa in the new season’s opening league match, and with a victory in the Coppa Italia, they have kept clean sheets in their two official matches so far, highlighting their solid defensive organization. However, the team lost their attacking core, Miloš Krstić, in the summer; the forward, who contributed 11 goals and 5 assists last season, moved to Atalanta, leading to a significant decline in Lecce’s attacking strength. New boss Di Francesco focuses on building a defensive system, but the issue of insufficient attacking creativity remains prominent.
AC Milan finished only 8th in Serie A last season, a disappointing performance. This season, the club’s management hopes the team can return to the top 4 through signings and tactical adjustments. However, they made a disappointing start to the new season, losing 1-2 at home to promoted side Cremonese. The squad has undergone significant changes in the summer transfer window: they signed quality players such as Luka Modrić but also sold several key players, meaning the team needs time to gel. More concerningly, winger Rafael Leão is sidelined with an injury; the absence of this highly skilled dribbler will significantly impact the team’s attacking creativity. Head coach Massimiliano Allegri urgently needs to adjust the squad and find a new attacking solution.
Summary:
In their last 10 historical encounters, Lecce have recorded 3 draws and 7 losses against AC Milan without a win, and were even double-defeated by Milan home and away last season. In terms of the handicap for this match, the support for away side AC Milan remains consistent with previous encounters. While AC Milan has undergone major squad changes this summer, with their squad slightly weaker than before, the appointment of a new head coach will undoubtedly be key to boosting their competitiveness. Lecce have shown decent recent form but remain mediocre overall. Since the initial Asian Handicap opened with AC Milan -0.75, the bookmakers have shown confidence in AC Milan, and the line has now been raised to -1, with high market support. Based on the current situation of both teams, AC Milan is expected to claim their first league victory of the new season in this match.
