Match: Serie A
Fixture: Cremonese vs Sassuolo
Local Kick-off Time: August 29th at 18:30
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Handicap Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Sassuolo +0.25
European Handicap: Draw + Away Win
Predicted Scores: 0-0, 0-1, 1-1
Predicted Total Goals: 0, 1, 2
Comprehensive Analysis:
As a promoted side in this season’s Serie A, Cremonese showed extraordinary strength in their opening match—securing a surprise 2-1 victory away to traditional powerhouse AC Milan to claim a winning start in the new Serie A campaign. This result has greatly boosted the team’s morale. Cremonese have remained unbeaten in their last 4 matches, keeping clean sheets in 3 of them, demonstrating solid defensive resilience. Additionally, they have gone 8 consecutive home games without defeat (3 wins, 5 draws), showing stable form at home. Previously suspended players Valoti, Vázquez, and Babic are all set to return from bans, which will significantly strengthen the team’s squad depth.
Sassuolo, also a promoted side, faced Napoli in their first match and was clearly outmatched. Although they created some attacking chances, they failed to break through Napoli’s defense and ultimately lost 0-2, getting off to a losing start. However, Sassuolo have scored 13 goals and conceded only 7 in their last 10 matches, showing decent overall offensive and defensive performance—they simply face greater pressure against stronger teams. Moreover, they have remained unbeaten in their last 5 away games, boasting strong away competitiveness.
Summary:
While both teams are promoted sides, Cremonese is undoubtedly the more favored one thanks to their strong home form, high morale, and more complete squad. The home team naturally carries momentum into this match, having claimed a surprise away win over AC Milan in their last game, which gives them significant appeal as hosts. The initial Asian Handicap opened with Cremonese -0.25, making it relatively easy to back the home side. However, with extremely low odds on Sassuolo’s side, the bookmakers did not lower the handicap; instead, they later chose to raise the odds while maintaining Sassuolo’s +0.25 receipt. From this perspective, the Asian bookmakers appear to be protecting Sassuolo. In their last match, Sassuolo not only lost at home but also had a player sent off, which has had an impact. Furthermore, Sassuolo recorded 1 loss and 1 draw in their two Serie B encounters against Cremonese last season. With multiple unfavorable factors stacked against them, Cremonese—playing at home—still failed to gain further support. Therefore, the away side is likely to avoid defeat in this match.
