Match: Europa Conference League
Fixture: Fredrikstad vs Crystal Palace
Local Kick-off Time: August 28th at 18:00
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Handicap Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Crystal Palace -1.25
European Handicap: Away Win
Predicted Scores: 0-3, 1-3, 1-4
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
Comprehensive Analysis:
Fredrikstad has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses in the 2025 Eliteserien (Norwegian top flight) this season, ranking 10th. They are only 6 points ahead of the relegation zone, so their relegation prospects are relatively secure. In Europe, they lost to Midtjylland in the Europa League and now face Crystal Palace in the Europa Conference League—coming up against opponents stronger than themselves in both European competitions. Their league match last weekend was postponed, giving them ample rest time, which stands as their biggest advantage in this game. The team can fully focus on the European fixture and avoid physical fatigue from multi-front battles. Though they only trailed by one goal in the first leg, they were passive throughout the game with few attacking opportunities, and had little answer to the Premier League side’s high-intensity pressing and midfield control. In terms of the squad, the absence of backup goalkeeper Pukso has little impact on the main lineup but further weakens the team’s depth.
Crystal Palace has picked up two consecutive draws in the Premier League, but those draws came against strong teams Nottingham Forest and Chelsea. The team’s market value has reached €391 million this year, and with their first-ever European campaign underway, they aim to achieve a good finish—even contend for the title. However, the Europa Conference League is not as weak as expected, which actually helps their chances of winning their first European trophy. They defeated Fredrikstad 1-0 in the first leg, so a draw or win in the second leg will see them advance. The club has also been active in the transfer window: they signed Villarreal star Yeremy Pino, and have been in talks to sign players including Joe Kelly, Nico Elvedi, and Reiss Nelson. Crystal Palace plans to make further signings to pursue greater progress.
Summary:
In terms of the Asian Handicap, the initial line opened with Crystal Palace -1.5, but it has now adjusted down to -1.25 with high odds. Although Crystal Palace has an obvious strength advantage, factors such as their long trip to Northern Europe for an away game, physical strain from a midweek fixture, Fredrikstad’s well-rested status (due to a postponed league match), and Crystal Palace’s ongoing adaptation to life without Eberechi Eze (which brings uncertainty to their attack efficiency) mean this handicap adjustment deserves caution. That said, based on the current strength gap between the two teams, Fredrikstad is unlikely to pose a serious challenge.
