Match: DFB-Pokal
Fixture: Braunschweig vs Stuttgart
Local Kick-off Time: August 26th at 20:45
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Handicap Prediction:
Asian Handicap: Stuttgart -1.5
European Handicap: Away Win
Predicted Scores: 3-1, 4-1, 4-2
Predicted Total Goals: 4, 5, 6
Comprehensive Analysis:
Braunschweig is a struggler in the 2. Bundesliga. They finished 3rd from bottom last season and only narrowly retained their 2. Bundesliga status after a 2-2 aggregate draw with 3. Liga side Saarbrücken in the relegation play-offs, eventually progressing in extra time with a man advantage. After the season, their top scorer and assist provider Rayan Filipe was poached by Hamburg—he contributed 14 goals and 6 assists last season, directly involved in 50% of the team’s goals. To make matters worse, the team suffered another major blow in the league last weekend: key midfielder Tempelmann picked up an injury and will be sidelined for several weeks. He was the team’s second-highest scorer last season, contributing 7 goals and 2 assists in just half a season. Together with Filipe, they accounted for nearly three-quarters of the team’s goals. Without these two players, Braunschweig’s strength has declined significantly, their relegation pressure has increased sharply, and they will not expend too much energy on the DFB-Pokal.
Stuttgart, however, is in a different position: they are determined to become the 8th team in DFB-Pokal history to successfully defend the title. Especially after a winless start to the season, the team is eager to boost morale with a victory. Stuttgart first lost 1-2 at home to Bayern Munich in the Supercup, then lost 1-2 away to Union Berlin in the league. The defeat to Union Berlin was purely down to bad luck: Stuttgart had 21 shots and created 4 clear-cut chances throughout the match, with an expected goals (xG) value of 1.72. In contrast, Union Berlin had only 8 shots with 2 on target, no clear-cut chances, and an xG as low as 0.35. A positive for Stuttgart is that new signing forward Thomas scored on his league debut. Another new signing, Assignon, returns from suspension after this match, and the team currently only has a few long-term injury absentees, which will not have a major impact.
Summary:
The market initially offered Stuttgart a -1.25 goal handicap for this match. The Stuttgart manager’s pre-match statement emphasizing "valuing the cup competition" has won some goodwill from the public, and the obvious betting support for Stuttgart in the current market is evident. Braunschweig’s recent form has been inconsistent, while Stuttgart—even with a winless start—has a far stronger squad and has shown much better tactical effectiveness in matches than Braunschweig. Additionally, the handicap has now been mostly adjusted to -1.5 goals, further supporting Stuttgart to win convincingly and progress. Based on comprehensive analysis, Stuttgart will have no problem defeating Braunschweig away from home in this match.
