Match: Copa do Brasil
Fixture: Corinthians vs. Palmeiras
Local kick-off time: 21:30 on July 30
Venue: Allianz Parque
Summary of both teams' strength:
Corinthians currently sit 11th in the Brasileirão and have gone 3 league rounds without a win, though their opponents in these 3 rounds were São Paulo, Cruzeiro, and Botafogo—all teams with higher rankings and stronger strength than Corinthians. This season, Corinthians have picked up most of their points at home, but their last home victory dates back to mid-May, when they beat Novo Horizonte by 1 goal in the previous round of the Copa do Brasil.
Palmeiras are currently 3rd in the league. After being eliminated from the FIFA Club World Cup, they returned to domestic league action with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 games, remaining unbeaten. Among these, their away victory over Fluminense—who also performed well in the Club World Cup—carries significant weight. This season, Palmeiras boast the best away record in the league, with a staggering 86% win rate! They are also a highly competitive away side in cup competitions.
Handicap prediction:
Palmeiras +0 (Asian Handicap)
Draw + Away win (European Odds)
Predicted scores: 0-0, 0-1
Predicted total goals: 0, 1
Changes in betting data:
The initial European odds for this match are 3.05-3.15-2.30. The Asian Handicap initially offered Palmeiras -0.25. Currently, the data has adjusted slightly, with the handicap dropping to a level ball (0 goals). For the total goals line, it has fallen from an initial 2 goals to 1.75 goals.
Both teams are traditional Brazilian giants, but their standings this season differ. Corinthians are currently a mid-table side; despite playing at home, they have some pulling power, and the shift from Palmeiras being favorites to a level ball will likely draw more attention to Corinthians. However, facing a Palmeiras side in good form and with stronger strength, Corinthians may not get many good chances. Thus, Palmeiras are more likely to get a result (avoid defeat) in this match. Meanwhile, given the handicap trends, there are unlikely to be many goals in the game.
